Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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